Diagnosis of obstructive sleep apnea in children based on the XGBoost algorithm using nocturnal heart rate and blood

Pengfei Ye1, Han Qin2, Xiaojun Zhan1

  • 1Department of Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Children's Hospital Capital Institute of Pediatrics, Beijing 100020, China.

Insights

Machine learning accurately identifies childhood obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) using heart rate and blood oxygen data. This approach offers a simpler, more accessible diagnostic tool for OSA in children compared to traditional polysomnography (PSG).

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Sleep Medicine
  • Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
  • Cardiorespiratory Monitoring

Background:

  • Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) significantly impacts children's health, affecting cardiovascular, growth, and cognitive functions.
  • Polysomnography (PSG) is the gold standard for OSA diagnosis but is costly and lab-dependent, limiting widespread screening.
  • There is a need for accessible diagnostic methods for childhood OSA.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate a machine learning model for identifying children with varying severities of OSA.
  • To utilize readily available data, specifically nighttime heart rate and blood oxygen saturation, for OSA diagnosis.
  • To create a more scalable and less invasive diagnostic approach for pediatric OSA.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 3139 children with suspected OSA underwent PSG.
  • Features included age, sex, BMI, 3% oxygen depletion index (ODI), average, and fastest nighttime heart rate.
  • An XGBoost model was trained and tested on datasets stratified by OSA severity (AHI ≥ 1, ≥ 5, ≥ 10), compared against Logistic Regression.

Main Results:

  • The XGBoost model achieved high diagnostic performance, with AUCs of 0.95 for mild, 0.88 for moderate, and 0.88 for severe OSA.
  • Classification accuracies were 90.45% (mild), 85.67% (moderate), and 89.81% (severe), outperforming Logistic Regression.
  • Oxygen depletion index (ODI) was the most critical feature; higher ODI and fastest heart rate predicted positive OSA classification. BMI's impact varied by severity.

Conclusions:

  • A machine learning model using heart rate and blood oxygen data can effectively diagnose childhood OSA severity.
  • This AI-driven approach simplifies the diagnostic process and reduces reliance on complex PSG.
  • The model offers a promising tool for screening children with suspected OSA, particularly those lacking access to PSG, and can guide diagnostic priorities.
Abstract

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