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Transportation carbon emission reduction potential and mitigation strategy in China
Caiquan Bai1, Zhijun Chen2, Daoping Wang3
1The Center for Economic Research, Shandong University, Ji'nan, Shandong 250100, PR China.
The Science of the Total Environment
|February 9, 2023
Summary
China
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Transportation Engineering
- Energy Policy
Background:
- Reducing transportation carbon emissions is crucial for China's carbon peaking and neutrality goals.
- Regional technological differences impact emission reduction strategies.
- Understanding emission reduction potential and its drivers is key for policy development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the carbon emission performance and reduction potential of China's transportation sector, considering regional technology heterogeneity.
- To decompose emission reduction potential into management inefficiencies and technology gaps.
- To provide provincial-specific emission mitigation strategies.
Main Methods:
- Parametric meta-frontier approach to analyze carbon emission performance.
- Decomposition of emission reduction potential into management and technology factors.
- Provincial-level data analysis for China's transportation sector.
Main Results:
- Estimated potential carbon emission reduction of 12.3 million tons (8.4% of annual emissions).
- Eastern regions (Shandong, Shanghai, Liaoning) show the greatest potential; Qinghai, Jiangxi, Ningxia show the least.
- Technology gaps contribute 57.5% and management inefficiencies 42.5% to potential reductions, with regional variations.
Conclusions:
- Significant potential exists for reducing transportation carbon emissions in China.
- Addressing both technological and managerial aspects is vital for effective emission mitigation.
- Tailored, provincial-specific strategies are necessary to achieve low-carbon transportation development.
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