A study on computed tomography cardiothoracic ratio in predicting left ventricular systolic dysfunction

A cardiothoracic ratio ≥0.50 is widely used as an indicator of cardiomegaly, but associations between the cardiothoracic ratio and left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) have not been investigated previously. We conducted this study to investigate the relationship between cardiothoracic ratio measured using computed tomography (CT) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and to determine the optimal cardiothoracic ratio for predicting left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD).

A retrospective cross-sectional study was performed using data from patients who underwent both chest CT and echocardiography at the emergency department from January 1 to December 31, 2021. The patients were classified as normal, or having mild, moderate, and severe LVSD based on their LVEF, and the cardiothoracic ratios of each group were compared. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were used to identify the optimal cardiothoracic ratio for prediction of mild, moderate, and severe LVSD.

The final study population included 444 patients. The median CT-measured cardiothoracic ratio was 0.54 for patients with normal LVEF, and 0.60 for patients with LVSD (P<0.001). The optimal CT-measured cardiothoracic ratios for predicting mild, moderate, and severe LVSD were 0.56, 0.59, and 0.60, and their areas under the ROC curve were 0.653, 0.690, and 0.680, and negative predictive values were 90%, 94%, and 98%, respectively.

The best cutoff value for a CT-measured cardiothoracic ratio suggestive of LVSD was 0.56, which is very different from the 0.50 value typically considered an abnormal cardiothoracic ratio. The CT-measured cardiothoracic ratio ≥0.56 can be used as a rough indicator of mild LVSD, and a ratio <0.60 can exclude severe LVSD with a high degree of confidence.