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Published on: September 10, 2018
Exploring epidemic voluntary vaccinating behavior based on information-driven decisions and benefit-cost analysis.
Chao Zuo1, Yuting Ling1, Fenping Zhu2
1School of Management Engineering and E-commerce, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China.
Human behavior significantly impacts epidemic transmission and vaccination decisions. Understanding information influence and social benefits is key to controlling disease spread and improving vaccination willingness.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Behavioral Economics
- Mathematical Modeling
Background:
- Human behavior dynamically influences epidemic transmission and vaccination uptake.
- Information processing capacity and perceived risks affect individual vaccination decisions.
- Factors like altruism, free-riding, and immunity escape shape vaccination behavior.
Purpose of the Study:
- To model the interplay between epidemic dynamics, human behavior, and vaccination decisions.
- To analyze how information availability and individual decision-making influence vaccination strategies.
- To identify key factors that enhance vaccination willingness and control disease spread.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Gompertz model for cumulative information growth and epidemic processes.
- Developed a benefit-cost analysis framework for vaccination decisions, incorporating social factors.
- Employed mean-field calculations and a fourth-order Runge-Kutta method for numerical simulations.
Main Results:
- Vaccination decisions become more favorable when the number of infectious individuals reaches a critical threshold.
- Authoritative media significantly influences vaccination choices; extended vaccine protection duration is crucial.
- Prosocial behavior and clear communication on vaccine safety enhance vaccination willingness and disease control.
Conclusions:
- Public health strategies should leverage social benefits and clear communication to boost vaccination rates.
- Improving health literacy and addressing misinformation are vital for effective epidemic control.
- Targeted interventions, like prosocial nudges, can bridge immunity gaps and support public health measures.
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