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Connectivity and Order: an Analytical Framework
Bart Gaens1, Ville Sinkkonen1, Henri Vogt2
1Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA), Helsinki, Finland.
Great power competition coexists with global interdependence. This study introduces six connectivity logics to analyze how functional links shape international and regional orders, using the Indo-Pacific as a case study.
Area of Science:
- International Relations
- Political Science
- Global Governance
Background:
- International Relations (IR) literature presents conflicting views on the future of international order, citing China's rise, American decline, or a leaderless world.
- Paradoxically, escalating great-power tensions coexist with deepening global interdependencies, as seen in climate change and pandemic responses.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze how global and regional orders are shaped by connective functional links between actors.
- To introduce a novel analytical framework for understanding contemporary international relations and regionalism.
Main Methods:
- Development of an analytical framework based on six distinct connectivity logics: cooperation, copying, cushioning, contestation, containment, and coercion.
- Application of the framework across material, economic, institutional, knowledge, people-to-people, and security spheres.
- Empirical analysis using case studies of key actors' policies in the Indo-Pacific region.
Main Results:
- The framework reveals diverse patterns of connectivity influencing international and regional dynamics.
- Functional links, driven by the six logics, are increasingly defining global and regional orders.
- The Indo-Pacific case studies illustrate the practical application and utility of the connectivity logics framework.
Conclusions:
- Contemporary global and regional orders are increasingly characterized by functional connectivity, not solely by power transitions.
- The proposed six connectivity logics offer a nuanced lens for understanding complex interdependencies and power dynamics.
- This framework provides valuable insights for analyzing state behavior and the evolution of international relations in a multipolar world.
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