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Assumption-checking rather than (just) testing: The importance of visualization and effect size in statistical
1University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. is442@cam.ac.uk.
Behavior Research Methods
|March 3, 2023
Summary
Checking statistical assumptions with significance tests is often flawed, leading to errors like false positives and negatives. Improved diagnostics involve visualization and effect sizes, not just hypothesis testing.
Area of Science:
- Statistics
- Data Analysis
- Research Methodology
Background:
- Statistical methods rely on assumptions (e.g., normality) crucial for valid results.
- Violating these assumptions can lead to statistical errors and biased estimates.
- Current diagnostic practices for assumption checking are often problematic.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify and illustrate the flaws in using null hypothesis significance tests for statistical assumption diagnostics.
- To provide practical recommendations for improving statistical diagnostic methods.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of a prevalent diagnostic approach using null hypothesis significance tests (e.g., Shapiro-Wilk test).
- Illustration of issues through simulations, focusing on statistical errors and misinterpretations.
- Synthesis of implications and development of recommendations for better diagnostics.
Main Results:
- Null hypothesis significance tests for assumption checking can yield false positives (large samples) and false negatives (small samples).
- This approach leads to false binarity, limited descriptiveness, and misinterpretation of p-values.
- Testing assumptions can fail if the test's own assumptions are unmet.
Conclusions:
- Rethink the reliance on significance testing for statistical assumption diagnostics.
- Emphasize visualization, effect sizes, and programmatic tools for more robust and replicable diagnostics.
- Distinguish between testing and checking assumptions, viewing violations as a spectrum.
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