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Introduction To Survival Analysis01:18

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Survival analysis is a statistical method used to study time-to-event data, where the "event" might represent outcomes like death, disease relapse, system failure, or recovery. A unique feature of survival data is censoring, which occurs when the event of interest has not been observed for some individuals during the study period. This requires specialized techniques to handle incomplete data effectively.
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Trends in Adolescent Firearm-Related Injury: A Time Series Analysis.

Courtney H Meyer1,2,3, Soroosh Noorbakhsh1,3, Katie Jackson1

  • 1Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.

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|March 14, 2023
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Firearm-related injuries (FRI) disproportionately affect Black males. Intentional injuries are rising among females, while unintentional injuries are increasing across all adolescent age groups.

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Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Epidemiology
  • Injury Prevention

Background:

  • Firearm-related injury (FRI) emerged as the leading cause of death for children and adolescents in 2019.
  • Understanding demographic shifts in FRI is crucial for targeted public health interventions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze temporal trends in adolescent firearm-related injuries in Atlanta, Georgia.
  • To identify high-risk demographic cohorts for targeted prevention strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective city-wide cohort review of adolescent FRI victims (ages 11-21) in Atlanta.
  • Utilized descriptive, multivariate, and time series analyses on FRI data defined by ICD-9/10 codes.

Main Results:

  • 1,453 adolescent FRI victims were identified, predominantly Black (86%) and male (86.6%).
  • Unintentional injuries were more prevalent in younger adolescents (11-14 years).
  • FRI cases among females increased significantly (8.1 injuries/year), as did unintentional injuries (7.6/year); mortality declined.

Conclusions:

  • Data supports the need for firearm policy reform to address adolescent FRI.
  • Interventions should focus on preventing intentional injuries among females and reversing the trend of unintentional injuries.