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Trends in Adolescent Firearm-Related Injury: A Time Series Analysis
Courtney H Meyer1,2,3, Soroosh Noorbakhsh1,3, Katie Jackson1
1Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Background:
Firearm-related injury (FRI) became the leading cause of death among children/adolescents in 2019.
Purpose:
This study sought to determine changes over time in the population of adolescents affected by FRI in Atlanta, Georgia, such that high risk cohorts could be identified.
Research Design:
City-wide retrospective cohort review.
Study Sample:
Adolescent victims (age 11-21 years of age) of FRI, defined by ICD9/10 codes, in Atlanta, Georgia.
Data Analysis:
Descriptive, multivariate and time series analysis.
Results:
There were 1,453 adolescent FRI victims in this time period, predominantly Black (86%) and male (86.6%). Unintentional injury was higher among ages 11-14 years (43.1%) compared to 15-17 years (10.2%) and 18-21 years (9.3%) (P < .01). FRI affecting females increased at a rate of 8.1 injuries/year (P < .01), and unintentional injuries increased at by 7.6/year (P < .01). Mortality declined from 16% in 2016 to 7.7% in 2021.
Conclusion:
Our data provides evidence for firearm policy reform. Interventions should target prevention of intentional injury among AQ4 females and seek to reverse the trend in unintentional injuries.
