[Changes in Land Use Carbon Emissions and Coordinated Zoning in China]

Carbon emissions from land use changes have become one of the main sources of regional carbon emissions. In order to explore its changes, based on the MCD12Q-LUCC data of MODIS from 2001 to 2019 using the carbon emission coefficient method, clustering, and outlier analysis method, the spatial characteristics of land use carbon emissions in various provinces in China in the past 19 years were discussed from the perspectives of carbon emission economy contributive coefficient, carbon ecological support coefficient, and their coupling and coordination relationship. The results showed that:① from 2000 to 2019, the national land use carbon emissions increased significantly; however, after 2011, the growth rate of carbon emissions became flat, whereas the growth of carbon sinks was relatively slow, and the gap between the two was still large. ② Clustering and outlier analysis showed that during the study period, the high-value agglomeration centers of land use carbon emissions in various provinces and cities across the country shifted from Guangdong, Jiangsu, and other provinces to Hebei, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, and other provinces, and the agglomeration status became increasingly obvious. ③ The economy contributive coefficient of carbon emissions in all provinces and cities across the country had the spatial characteristics of being high in the south and low in the north, and the ecological support coefficient gradually developed from high in the west to low in the east, followed by that in the north, and the coupling coordination between the two showed a downward trend. ④ Based on the economy contributive of carbon emissions and carbon ecological support, this study divided the provinces into four categories:low-carbon maintenance area, economic development area, carbon sink development area, and comprehensive optimization area. We also put forward our own development suggestions, striving to achieve carbon neutrality and low-carbon sustainable development.