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Resolving when (and where) the Thylacine went extinct.

Barry W Brook1, Stephen R Sleightholme2, Cameron R Campbell3

  • 1School of Natural Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Australian Biodiversity and Heritage (CABAH), Australia.

The Science of the Total Environment
|March 19, 2023
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

The Thylacine, or Tasmanian tiger, likely went extinct between the 1940s and 1970s, though some data suggests a possibility of survival until the early 2000s in remote Tasmania.

Keywords:
Extinction inferenceExtirpation patternRange dynamicsTasmanian TigerUncertainty modelling

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology and Evolutionary Biology
  • Conservation Science
  • Paleontology

Background:

  • The Thylacine (Thylacinus cynocephalus), or 'Tasmanian tiger', is an iconic symbol of human-caused extinction.
  • The species was extirpated from mainland Australia and persisted only in Tasmania until its demise.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To reconstruct the extinction timeline and spatio-temporal dynamics of the Thylacine.
  • To identify potential refugia and the most likely locations of the last surviving subpopulations.

Main Methods:

  • Compiled an exhaustive database of 1237 Thylacine observational records from Tasmania (1910 onwards).
  • Quantified record uncertainty and developed new methods for spatio-temporal analysis.
  • Applied uncertainty modeling and sensitivity analysis to the entire sighting record.

Main Results:

  • Direct interpretation of high-quality records suggests extinction between the 1940s and 1970s.
  • Uncertainty modeling indicates a possible extinction as recent as the late 1980s to early 2000s.
  • Analysis points to remote south-western Tasmania as a potential final refuge.

Conclusions:

  • The precise extinction date of the Thylacine remains uncertain, with a range from the mid-20th century to the early 21st century.
  • Spatio-temporal mapping of extirpation can aid conservation efforts for rare species.
  • Further research and targeted searches may be warranted in specific remote areas.