Left atrial CT volume and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score predict early pulmonary vein stump thrombus after left upper lobectomy

The purpose of this study is to clarify the feasibility of left atrial (LA) volume measurement and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for predicting the development of pulmonary vein (PV) stump thrombus after left upper lobectomy (LUL). The study population comprised 50 patients who underwent LUL for pulmonary lesions. All patients were evaluated for the development of PV stump thrombus at 7 days after LUL. LA volume was measured using preoperative CT and the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was evaluated. LA volume and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were compared between patients with and without the development of PV stump thrombus using the Mann-Whitney U test. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the accuracy of prediction of PV stump thrombus development. PV stump thrombus was detected in 17 (33.4%) of the 50 patients. LA volume was significantly greater in patients who developed PV stump thrombus than in those without thrombus (79.7 ± 19.4 vs. 66.6 ± 17.0 mL, p = 0.040). CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was significantly higher in patients with PV stump thrombosis than in those without thrombus (3.4 ± 1.5 vs. 2.5 ± 1.5, p = 0.039). Area under the ROC curve values for predicting PV stump thrombus were 0.679, 0.676, and 0.714 for LA volume, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, and their combination, respectively. In conclusion, LA volume measured using preoperative CT and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score may help predict the development of PV stump thrombus after LUL.