Predicting Post-hepatectomy Liver Failure Preoperatively for Child-Pugh A5 Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients by Liver

Jiayao Huang1, Haiyi Long1, Jianyun Peng1

  • 1Department of Medical Ultrasonics, Sun Yat-Sen University First Affiliated Hospital, No. 58, Zhongshan Road II, Yuexiu District, Guangzhou, 510080, Guangdong, China.

Insights

Liver stiffness (LS) measured by 2D-SWE can predict post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with Child-Pugh score 5. A model combining LS and future liver remnant (FLR/eTLV) effectively predicts PHLF risk.

Area of Science:

  • Hepatobiliary Surgery
  • Oncology
  • Medical Imaging

Background:

  • Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a major cause of mortality in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver resection (LR).
  • Child-Pugh (CP) score 5, typically indicating normal liver function, includes patients at risk for PHLF.
  • Predicting PHLF in this subgroup is crucial for patient management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the efficacy of liver stiffness (LS) measured by two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) in predicting PHLF.
  • To assess the predictive capability of LS for PHLF in HCC patients with a CP score of 5.

Main Methods:

  • 146 HCC patients with CP score 5 undergoing LR were analyzed.
  • Patients were divided into training (n=97) and validation (n=49) cohorts.
  • Logistic analysis identified risk factors; a linear model incorporating LS and FLR/eTLV was developed to predict PHLF.

Main Results:

  • Minimum LS (Emin) > 8.05 and FLR/eTLV were independent predictors of PHLF (p<0.01).
  • The combined model achieved an AUC of 0.78 in the training group and 0.76 in the validation group.
  • These findings indicate a significant association between LS and PHLF development.

Conclusions:

  • Liver stiffness is a valuable predictor of PHLF in HCC patients with CP score 5.
  • A predictive model integrating Emin and FLR/eTLV demonstrates good performance in identifying patients at risk for PHLF.
Abstract