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Growth Differentiation Factor 15: A Prognostic Marker in Patients with Acute Chest Pain without Acute Myocardial
Gard M S Myrmel1, Ole-Thomas Steiro1, Hilde L Tjora2
1Department of Heart Disease, Haukeland University Hospital, Bergen, Norway.
Insights
Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) predicts long-term mortality and cardiovascular events in patients with acute chest pain but without acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Higher GDF-15 levels indicate a significantly increased risk for poor outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
- Prognostic Medicine
Background:
- Acute chest pain increases mortality risk, even without acute myocardial infarction (AMI).
- Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a known prognostic marker in AMI patients.
- The prognostic utility of GDF-15 in non-AMI chest pain patients remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive ability of GDF-15 for long-term prognosis in patients presenting with acute chest pain but without AMI.
- To determine if GDF-15 can identify patients at higher risk for adverse outcomes.
Main Methods:
- 1320 patients with acute chest pain and no AMI were followed for a median of 1523 days.
- Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality; secondary endpoints included cardiovascular death, future AMI, heart failure hospitalization, and new-onset atrial fibrillation.
- Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to assess GDF-15 as an independent predictor.
Main Results:
- Elevated GDF-15 concentrations correlated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and all secondary endpoints.
- GDF-15 levels in the 4th quartile were independent predictors of all-cause death (aHR: 2.75), cardiovascular death (aHR: 3.74), and heart failure hospitalization (aHR: 2.60).
- Incorporating GDF-15 into risk models significantly improved the prediction of all-cause mortality.
Conclusions:
- Higher GDF-15 levels are associated with an elevated risk of all-cause mortality in patients with acute chest pain and no AMI.
- GDF-15 serves as a valuable independent predictor of long-term adverse cardiovascular events in this patient cohort.
Background:
Acute chest pain is associated with an increased risk of death and cardiovascular events even when acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been excluded. Growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is a strong prognostic marker in patients with acute chest pain and AMI, but the prognostic value in patients without AMI is uncertain. This study sought to investigate the ability of GDF-15 to predict long-term prognosis in patients presenting with acute chest pain without AMI.
Methods:
In total, 1320 patients admitted with acute chest pain without AMI were followed for a median of 1523 days (range: 4 to 2208 days). The primary end point was all-cause mortality. Secondary end points included cardiovascular (CV) death, future AMI, heart failure hospitalization, and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF).
Results:
Higher concentrations of GDF-15 were associated with increased risk of death from all causes (median concentration in non-survivors vs survivors: 2124 pg/mL vs 852 pg/mL, P < 0.001), and all secondary end points. By multivariable Cox regression, GDF-15 concentration ≥4th quartile (compared to <4th quartile) remained an independent predictor of all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 2.75; 95% CI, 1.69-4.45, P < 0.001), CV death (adjusted HR: 3.74; 95% CI, 1.31-10.63, P = 0.013), and heart failure hospitalization (adjusted HR: 2.60; 95% CI, 1.11-6.06, P = 0.027). Adding GDF-15 to a model consisting of established risk factors and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) led to a significant increase in C-statistics for prediction of all-cause mortality.
Conclusions:
Higher concentrations of GDF-15 were associated with increased risk of mortality from all causes and risk of future CV events.
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