Association of fasting blood glucose variability with all-cause mortality in heart transplant recipients
Qiang Zheng1, Xing Liu1, Hongwen Lan1
1Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Insights
High fasting blood glucose (FBG) variability is a significant predictor of mortality in heart transplant recipients. This glycemic marker independently increases the risk of death after transplantation, highlighting its prognostic value.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Transplantation Medicine
Background:
- Fasting blood glucose (FBG) variability is an emerging glycemic control marker linked to cardiovascular events and mortality in general populations.
- Its independent association with all-cause mortality in heart transplant recipients remains unestablished.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the independent association between FBG variability and all-cause mortality in adult heart transplant recipients.
- To determine if FBG variability serves as a prognostic marker in this patient cohort.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 373 adult heart transplant recipients surviving at least 1 year post-transplant.
- FBG measured >3 times within the first year; variability assessed using coefficient of variation.
- Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression analyses performed to evaluate mortality risk.
Main Results:
- Patients categorized into FBG variability groups: ≤7.0%, 7.0%-13.5%, and >13.5%.
- During median 44.4 months follow-up, 31 (8.3%) participants died.
- High FBG variability (>13.5%) was significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR: 2.75; p=0.004) after multivariable adjustment.
Conclusions:
- Elevated FBG variability is a strong and independent predictor of all-cause mortality post-heart transplantation.
- FBG variability represents a novel risk factor and prognostic indicator for heart transplant recipients.
- Monitoring FBG variability may aid in risk stratification and management of heart transplant patients.
Background:
Fasting blood glucose (FBG) variability, an emerging marker of glycemic control, has been shown to be related to the risk of cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in subjects with or without diabetes. However, whether FBG variability is independently associated with a higher all-cause mortality in heart transplant recipients remains unknown.
Methods:
We performed a retrospective cohort study including 373 adult recipients who survived for at least 1 year after heart transplantation with a functioning graft and measured FBG more than three times within first year after transplantation. Multivariable adjusted Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the association between FBG variability and all-cause mortality.
Results:
Patients were categorized into three groups according to the coefficient of variation of FBG level: ≤7.0%, 7.0%-13.5%, and >13.5%. During a median follow-up of 44.4 months (interquartile range [IQR], 22.6-63.3 months), 31 (8.3%) participants died. In univariate analyses, FBG variability was associated with an increased all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.00, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.67, 5.38; p < .001). This association remained materially unchanged in the multivariable model adjusted for components of demographics, cardiovascular history and lifestyle, hospital information, immunosuppressive therapy, and post-transplant renal function (HR: 2.75, 95% CI: 1.43, 5.28; p = .004).
Conclusions:
After heart transplantation, high FBG variability is strongly and independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. Our findings suggest that FBG variability is a novel risk factor and prognostic marker for heart transplantation recipients in outpatient clinic.
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