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Descriptive analysis of Cycle Threshold in patients with hematologic malignancies infected with SARS-COV-2
Ignacio Martín Santarelli1, Diego Jorge Manzella2, Lucía Gallo Vaulet3
1Hospital de Clínicas José de San Martín. isantarelli@fmed.uba.ar.
Summary
Lower cycle threshold (Ct) values in SARS-CoV-2 patients with hematologic malignancies indicate higher viral load and are associated with severe COVID-19 outcomes, including death and pneumonia. This suggests Ct may predict disease severity.
Area of Science:
- Medical research
- Infectious diseases
- Hematology
Background:
- Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has caused a global health crisis.
- Patients with hematologic malignancies face a higher risk of mortality from SARS-CoV-2 infection.
- The cycle threshold (Ct) value in RT-PCR tests serves as an indirect indicator of viral load.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between Ct values and COVID-19 severity in patients with hematologic malignancies.
- To explore the potential of Ct values as a prognostic tool for disease course and infectivity.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective, observational, descriptive analysis was conducted.
- Data included Ct values at diagnosis from 15 adult patients with hematologic malignancies who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2.
- Patient outcomes, including pneumonia development, need for respiratory support, and mortality, were recorded.
Main Results:
- Patients who died had significantly lower mean Ct values (15.5) compared to survivors (20.2).
- Patients who developed pneumonia had lower mean Ct values (18.2) than those without pneumonia (19.3).
- Severe COVID-19 cases exhibited the lowest Ct values.
Conclusions:
- Lower Ct values in SARS-CoV-2 positive patients with hematologic malignancies correlate with increased disease severity and mortality.
- The Ct value shows potential as a tool for predicting COVID-19 course and infectivity in this vulnerable population.
- Further research with larger cohorts is recommended to validate Ct as a quantitative laboratory determination.

