Severe lupus flare is associated with a much higher risk of stroke among patients with SLE

There are few data on the influence of lupus flare on stroke risk in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). In this study, we examined whether a severe lupus flare further increases the risk of stroke among SLE patients.

Using the Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study from 2000 to 2016. Each patient with SLE was matched to a non-SLE subject in age, sex, and index date. A severe flare of lupus was identified when an SLE patient was admitted for pulse therapy with intravenous methylprednisolone greater than 250 mg in a single hospitalization. SLE patients were divided into severe flare and non-severe flare groups.

In total, 334 of 10,006 patients with SLE had a severe lupus flare, and the remaining 9672 patients were assigned to the non-severe flare group. Ischemic stroke occurred in 29 (8.7%), 485 (5%), and 384 (3.8%) of the patients in the severe flare, non-severe flare, and control groups, respectively. Hemorrhagic stroke occurred in 9 (2.7%), 123 (1.3%), and 37 (0.4%) of patients in the severe flare, non-severe flare, and control groups, respectively. Compared with patients in the non-severe flare group, patients with severe flare had a significantly higher risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 7.44, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.93-11.25 vs aHR = 1.52, 95% CI: 1.26-1.83) and hemorrhagic stroke (aHR = 22.49, 95% CI: 10.09-50.12 vs aHR = 4.47, 95% CI: 2.90-6.90).

Severe lupus flare is associated with a much higher risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes among SLE patients.