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Updated: Aug 1, 2025

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Published on: February 26, 2013
How much does the presentation pattern of atrial fibrillation affect thrombo-embolic risk and mortality?
Dario Turturiello1, Riccardo Cappato1
1Arrhythmia & Electrophysiology Center, IRCCS MultiMedica, Sesto San Giovanni, Milan, Italy.
Insights
Patients with non-paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) face higher risks of thrombo-embolic events and death compared to those with paroxysmal AF. Current risk scores do not account for AF presentation patterns, necessitating further research.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Medicine
- Public Health
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) significantly increases mortality and morbidity.
- Systemic thromboembolism is a major complication of AF.
- Anticoagulant therapy is crucial for preventing stroke and peripheral ischemia in AF patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review literature on the impact of AF presentation patterns on thrombo-embolic risk and mortality.
- To evaluate the adequacy of current risk stratification models in accounting for AF presentation.
Main Methods:
- Literature review of studies investigating AF presentation patterns and associated risks.
- Analysis of post-hoc trial data, observational studies, and meta-analyses.
Main Results:
- Non-paroxysmal AF is associated with increased risks of thrombo-embolic events and mortality compared to paroxysmal AF.
- Current risk stratification models (e.g., SCORE) do not incorporate AF presentation patterns.
Conclusions:
- AF presentation pattern may be a significant factor in thrombo-embolic risk stratification.
- Further research is needed to develop new therapies for AF progression and refine risk models to include AF presentation patterns.
Abstract:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a substantial increase in mortality and morbidity. Systemic thrombo-embolism is the most serious complication associated with this arrhythmia. The use of anticoagulant drugs is the cornerstone of therapy for the prophylaxis of stroke and peripheral ischaemia in these patients. The current guidelines recommend the use of anticoagulant drugs based on the thrombo-embolic risk profile of each individual patient calculated by SCORE based on the presence or absence of clinical risk factors and regardless of the presentation pattern of AF. A review of literature data investigating the effect of AF presentation pattern on thrombo-embolic risk and mortality showed an increased risk of both thrombo-embolic events and death in patients with non-paroxysmal AF compared to patients with paroxysmal AF. Most of these studies, however, consist of post-hoc analyses of large trials or observational studies and meta-analyses derived from these, resulting in an important limitation in the interpretation of data derived from such studies. At the same time, these data suggest the need for both new therapies to prevent AF progression and for further studies to explore the integration of AF presentation pattern into models of thrombo-embolic risk.
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