A Retrospective Case Control Study Examining Procalcitonin as a Biomarker for Necrotizing Enterocolitis

Procalcitonin (PCT) is a biomarker for sepsis, but its utility has not been investigated in necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC). Necrotizing enterocolitis is a devastating multisystem disease of infants that in severe cases requires surgical intervention. We hypothesize that an elevated PCT will be associated with surgical NEC. After obtaining Institutional Review Board (IRB) approval (#12655), we performed a single institution retrospective case control study between 2010 and 2021 of infants up to three months of age. Inclusion criteria was PCT drawn within 72 hours of NEC or sepsis diagnosis. Control infants had a PCT drawn in the absence of infectious symptoms. Recursive partitioning (RP) identified PCT cutoffs. Categorical variable associations were tested using Fisher exact or χ² tests. Continuous variables were tested using Wilcoxon rank sum test, Student t-test, and Kruskal-Wallis test. Adjusted associations of PCT and other covariables with NEC or sepsis versus controls were obtained via multinomial logistic regression analysis. We identified 49 patients with NEC, 71 with sepsis, and 523 control patients. Based on RP, we selected two PCT cutoffs: 1.4 ng/mL and 3.19 ng/ml. A PCT of ≥1.4 ng/mL was associated with surgical (n = 16) compared with medical (n = 33) NEC (87.5% vs. 39.4%; p = 0.0015). A PCT of ≥1.4 ng/mL was associated with NEC versus control (p < 0.0001) even when adjusting for prematurity and excluding stage IA/IB NEC (odds ratio [OR], 28.46; 95% confidence interval [CI], 11.27-71.88). A PCT of 1.4-3.19 ng/mL was associated with both NEC (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 11.43; 95% CI, 2.57-50.78) and sepsis (aOR, 6.63; 95% CI, 2.66-16.55) compared with controls. A PCT of ≥1.4 ng/mL is associated with surgical NEC and may be a potential indicator for risk of disease progression.