Predicative factors and development of a nomogram for postoperative delayed neurocognitive recovery in elderly patients with gastric cancer
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1Department of Anesthesiology, Taizhou People's Hospital, Taizhou Clinical Medical School of Nanjing Medical University, No. 366 Taihu Road, Taizhou City, 225300, Jiangsu Province, China.
Background:
Delayed neurocognitive recovery (DNR) is a common complication after radical gastrectomy and closely associated with poor outcomes. This study aimed to investigate predictors and develop a nomogram prediction model for DNR.
Methods:
Elderly gastric cancer (GC) patients (≥ 65 years) undergoing elective laparoscopic radical gastrectomy between 2018 and 2022 were prospectively included in this study. DNR was diagnosed according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition (DSM-V, 2013). Independent risk factors for DNR were screened by the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Based on these factors, the nomogram model was established and validated by R.
Results:
A total of 312 elderly GC patients were enrolled in the training set, with an incidence of DNR within postoperative 1 month of 23.4% (73/312). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age (OR: 1.207, 95%CI: 1.113-1.309, P < 0.001), nutritional risk screening 2002 (NRS2002) score (OR: 1.716, 95%CI: 1.211-2.433, P = 0.002), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (OR: 1.976, 95%CI: 1.099-3.552, P = 0.023), albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR) (OR: 0.774, 95%CI: 0.620-0.966, P = 0.024), and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) (OR: 0.768, 95%CI: 0.706-0.835, P < 0.001) were five independent factors for DNR in elderly GC patients. The constructed nomogram model based on these five factors has a good predictive value for DNR with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.863.
Conclusions:
In conclusions, the established nomogram model based on age, NRS-2002, NLR, AFR, and PNI has a well predictive value for postoperative DNR in elderly GC patients.
