Electricity system security in Jordan: A response for arab uprising

Area of Science:

• Energy Security Studies
• Political Economy of Energy
• Middle Eastern Energy Markets

Background:

• Jordan's energy sector faces high import dependency and demand growth.
• Geopolitical instability in the region heightens concerns over energy security.
• The Arab uprising significantly influenced regional dynamics and policy responses.

Purpose of the Study:

• To investigate the impact of regional conflicts on Jordan's energy sector.
• To analyze the evolution of electricity system security before and after the Arab uprising.
• To assess the effectiveness of policy responses in enhancing energy security.

Main Methods:

• Development of an eleven-index electricity sector security framework based on Stirling's four properties (durability, stability, robustness, resilience).
• Comparative analysis of energy security in 2010 versus 2018.
• Validation of results using a forecasting model for generation costs and CO2 emissions.

Main Results:

• Electricity system security in Jordan showed development between 2010 and 2018, influenced by the Arab uprising.
• Responsive government policies and financial aid from Gulf countries contributed to enhanced stability.
• Forecasting models corroborated the security framework's findings regarding costs and emissions.

Conclusions:

• Regional conflicts, while posing short-term risks, can foster medium and long-term energy sector improvements through rational and sustainable response plans.
• Jordan's energy security has been bolstered by adaptive policies and international support.
• Authoritarian learning phenomena played a role in shaping the security developments within the study period.