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The PaO2/FiO2 is independently associated with 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis: a retrospective analysis
Hongying Bi1, Xu Liu2, Chi Chen3
1Department of Critical Care Medicine, The Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, Guiyang, Guizhou, China.
Background:
To clarify the relationship between the PaO2/FiO2 and 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
Methods:
This was a retrospective cohort study regarding MIMIC-IV database. Nineteen thousand two hundred thirty-three patients with sepsis were included in the final analysis. PaO2/FiO2 was exposure variable, 28-day mortality was outcome variable. PaO2/FiO2 was log-transformed as LnPaO2/FiO2. Binary logistic regression was used to explore the independent effects of LnPaO2/FiO2 on 28-day mortality using non-adjusted and multivariate-adjusted models. A generalized additive model (GAM) and smoothed curve fitting was used to investigate the non-linear relationship between LnPaO2/FiO2 and 28-day mortality. A two-piecewise linear model was used to calculate the OR and 95% CI on either side of the inflection point.
Results:
The relationship between LnPaO2/FiO2 and risk of 28-day death in sepsis patients was U-shape. The inflection point of LnPaO2/FiO2 was 5.30 (95%CI: 5.21-5.39), which indicated the inflection point of PaO2/FiO2 was 200.33 mmHg (95%CI: 183.09 mmHg-219.20 mmHg). On the left of inflection point, LnPaO2/FiO2 was negatively correlated with 28-day mortality (OR: 0.37, 95%CI: 0.32-0.43, p < 0.0001). On the right of inflection point, LnPaO2/FiO2 was positively correlated with 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis (OR: 1.53, 95%CI: 1.31-1.80, p < 0.0001).
Conclusions:
In patients with sepsis, either a high or low PaO2/FiO2 was associated with an increased risk of 28-day mortality. In the range of 183.09 mmHg to 219.20 mmHg, PaO2/FiO2 was associated with a lower risk of 28-day death in patients with sepsis.
Insights
Both low and high arterial oxygen tension/inspired oxygen fraction (PaO2/FiO2) ratios are linked to increased 28-day mortality in sepsis patients. An optimal PaO2/FiO2 range exists, below which mortality risk rises.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Respiratory Physiology
- Sepsis Pathophysiology
Background:
- Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection.
- The PaO2/FiO2 ratio is a key indicator of oxygenation status in critically ill patients.
- The precise relationship between PaO2/FiO2 and mortality in sepsis remains incompletely understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between the PaO2/FiO2 ratio and 28-day mortality in patients diagnosed with sepsis.
- To identify potential thresholds of PaO2/FiO2 that may predict mortality risk.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study utilizing the MIMIC-IV database.
- Included 19,233 patients with sepsis, analyzing PaO2/FiO2 as the exposure and 28-day mortality as the outcome.
- Employed generalized additive models and a two-piecewise linear model to assess the non-linear relationship and identify an inflection point.
Main Results:
- A U-shaped relationship was observed between the log-transformed PaO2/FiO2 (LnPaO2/FiO2) and 28-day mortality.
- An inflection point for PaO2/FiO2 was identified at 200.33 mmHg.
- Below this threshold, lower PaO2/FiO2 was associated with increased mortality (OR 0.37); above it, higher PaO2/FiO2 was also associated with increased mortality (OR 1.53).
Conclusions:
- Both excessively low and high PaO2/FiO2 levels are independently associated with increased 28-day mortality in sepsis patients.
- A narrow range of PaO2/FiO2 (approximately 183-219 mmHg) appears to be associated with the lowest risk of 28-day mortality.
- These findings suggest a potential therapeutic window for optimizing oxygenation in sepsis management.
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