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Setup of Consumer Wearable Devices for Exposure and Health Monitoring in Population Studies
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Lockdown spillovers.

Hongyi Chen1, Peter Tillmann2

  • 1HKIMR, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Journal of International Money and Finance
|June 20, 2023
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

COVID-19 lockdowns significantly impacted economies through cross-border spillovers. Foreign lockdown shocks adversely affected domestic economic activity, with effects on stock prices and exports exceeding domestic impacts.

Keywords:
Covid-19Lockdown shocksPandemicPanel local projectionsSpillovers

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Area of Science:

  • Economics
  • International Trade
  • Pandemic Studies

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic necessitated widespread lockdowns, disrupting global economic activity.
  • Understanding the cross-border economic consequences of these containment measures is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To empirically estimate the magnitude of lockdown spillovers between countries.
  • To analyze the impact of foreign lockdown shocks on domestic economic indicators.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized panel local projections with daily economic activity indicators.
  • Included stock returns, effective exchange rates, NO2 emissions, mobility, and maritime container trade.
  • Constructed foreign shocks using trade, foreign direct investment, and value chain connectedness weights.

Main Results:

  • Lockdown shocks from major trading partners significantly harmed domestic economic activity.
  • Spillover effects on stock prices and exports were sometimes larger than domestic lockdown impacts.
  • Lockdown spillovers were most pronounced during the initial phase of the pandemic.

Conclusions:

  • Countries heavily reliant on exports are particularly vulnerable to external lockdown measures.
  • Cross-border economic repercussions of national lockdowns require careful consideration in policy-making.