TSPO-Detectable Chronic Active Lesions Predict Disease Progression in Multiple Sclerosis

Eero Polvinen1, Markus Matilainen1, Marjo Nylund1

  • 1From the Turku PET Centre (E.P., M.M., M.N., M.S., L.M.A.); Clinical Neurosciences (E.P., M.N., M.S., L.M.A.), University of Turku; Faculty of Science and Engineering (M.M.), Åbo Akademi University; and Neurocenter (M.S., L.M.A.), Turku University Hospital, Finland.

Abstract

Insights

The frequency of chronic active lesions detected by TSPO-PET imaging predicts multiple sclerosis (MS) disease progression. Higher proportions of rim-active lesions indicate a greater risk of disability accumulation in MS patients.

Area of Science:

  • Neuroimmunology
  • Radiology
  • Neurology

Background:

  • Chronic active lesions in multiple sclerosis (MS) brain are detectable via MRI and PET imaging.
  • Innate immune cell activation within these lesions is a key pathological feature.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between TSPO-PET-detectable chronic active lesions and MS disease progression.
  • To determine if lesion characteristics predict disability measured by the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) over a 5-year follow-up.

Main Methods:

  • 82 MS patients underwent TSPO-PET imaging to assess chronic lesion activity.
  • Lesions were classified as rim-active, inactive, or overall active based on immune cell patterns.
  • Logistic regression analysis identified predictors of disease progression.

Main Results:

  • Patients with disability progression showed a higher proportion of rim-active lesions and fewer inactive lesions.
  • A specific lesion pattern ( >10% rim-active and ≤50% inactive lesions) strongly predicted progression (OR = 26.8).
  • These findings held true even in patients without relapses during follow-up.

Conclusions:

  • In vivo phenotyping of MS chronic lesions using TSPO-PET is a robust predictor of disease progression.
  • The study highlights the critical role of chronic active lesions in MS disability accumulation.