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Predicting potential underreporting of firearm ownership in a nationally representative sample
Allison E Bond1,2, Aleksandr T Karnick3, Daniel W Capron3
1The New Jersey Gun Violence Research Center, Rutgers University, Newark, USA. ab2242@psych.rutgers.edu.
Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology
|June 23, 2023
Summary
Researchers identified subgroups of individuals who may underreport firearm ownership. This finding aids in understanding firearm ownership and targeting safety messages for injury prevention.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Social Science
Background:
- Accurate firearm ownership data is crucial for public health initiatives.
- Underreporting of firearm ownership can skew research findings and intervention strategies.
- Understanding demographic and intrapersonal factors associated with firearm ownership is essential.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify demographic and intrapersonal variables associated with underreporting firearm ownership.
- To determine if individuals who underreport firearm ownership can be classified into distinct subgroups.
- To improve the accuracy of firearm ownership estimates in the United States.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial (ZINB) regression to model firearm ownership underreporting.
- Employed latent class analysis to identify subgroups among individuals who underreported ownership.
- Matched participant data (N=3500) to 2010 US census data for demographic variables.
Main Results:
- Identified 1306 participants (37.3%) as underreporting firearm ownership.
- Latent class analysis revealed three distinct subgroups within the underreporting population.
- Demographic and intrapersonal variables were significant predictors of firearm ownership underreporting.
Conclusions:
- Identifying individuals who underreport firearm ownership enhances understanding of US firearm demographics.
- Findings enable more targeted safe storage messaging to at-risk firearm owners.
- Improved accuracy in firearm ownership data can lead to more effective injury prevention strategies.
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