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An Observation-Driven Random Parameter INAR(1) Model Based on the Poisson Thinning Operator
1School of Statistics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China.
Abstract:
This paper presents a first-order integer-valued autoregressive time series model featuring observation-driven parameters that may adhere to a particular random distribution. We derive the ergodicity of the model as well as the theoretical properties of point estimation, interval estimation, and parameter testing. The properties are verified through numerical simulations. Lastly, we demonstrate the application of this model using real-world datasets.
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