Optimization of Liner Operations and Fuel Selection considering Emission Control Areas
1Institute of Logistics Science and Engineering, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 201306, China.
For container ships, using heavy fuel oil with scrubbers is currently most cost-effective. Low-sulfur fuel oil and methanol offer better long-term environmental and economic benefits, especially as emission control area regulations tighten.
Area of Science:
- Marine Engineering
- Environmental Science
- Maritime Economics
Background:
- Global shipping expansion exacerbates marine pollution.
- Emission reduction is a key challenge for the shipping industry.
Purpose of the Study:
- Optimize container ship operations within and outside Emission Control Areas (ECAs).
- Evaluate economic and environmental impacts of various fuels (HFO, LSFO, LNG, methanol).
- Analyze sensitivity to ECA proportion and ship speed.
Main Methods:
- Developed annual operating cycle models.
- Assessed fuel cost-effectiveness and environmental benefits.
- Conducted sensitivity analysis on ECA ratio and ship speed.
Main Results:
- Currently, HFO with scrubbers is most cost-effective short-term.
- LSFO and methanol present balanced cost and environmental benefits.
- LNG is currently not economically attractive.
- Methanol becomes optimal when ECA ratio exceeds 47%.
Conclusions:
- Reducing ship speed cuts emissions but lowers profits; a short-term measure.
- Transitioning to green energy is crucial for long-term sustainability and "zero carbon" goals.
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