Changes in Sarcopenia Status Predict Survival Among Patients with Resectable Esophageal Cancer

Sarcopenia is a predictor of survival in patients with esophageal cancer. The objective of this research was to obtain insight into how changes in sarcopenia influence survival in resectable esophageal cancer.

A retrospective cohort of patients with esophageal cancer undergoing tri-modality therapy was selected. Body composition parameters from the staging, post-neoadjuvant, and 1-year surveillance computed tomography (CT) scans were calculated. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test, as well as multivariable Cox-proportional hazards models.

Of 141 patients, 118 had images at all three timepoints. The median DFS and OS were 33.2 [95% confidence interval (CI) 19.1-73.7] and 34.5 (95% CI 23.1-57.6) months, respectively. Sarcopenia classified by the staging CT was present in 20 (17.0%) patients. This changed to 45 (38.1%) patients by the post-neoadjuvant scan, and 44 (37.3%) by the surveillance scan. In multivariable analysis, sarcopenia at the post-neoadjuvant scan was significantly associated with OS [hazards ratio (HR) 2.65, 95% CI 1.59-4.40; p < 0.001] and DFS (HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.03-3.13; p = 0.038). The net change in skeletal muscle index was associated with OS (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.90-0.97; p < 0.001) and DFS (HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.91-0.98; p = 0.001).

Patients who develop sarcopenia as a consequence of skeletal muscle wasting during neoadjuvant therapy are at risk for worse DFS and OS. Patients who have a net loss of muscle over time may be at high risk for early disease recurrence.