The transcriptional risk scores for kidney renal clear cell carcinoma using XGBoost and multiple omics data

Most kidney cancers are kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC) that is a main cause of cancer-related deaths. Polygenic risk score (PRS) is a weighted linear combination of phenotypic related alleles on the genome that can be used to assess KIRC risk. However, standalone SNP data as input to the PRS model may not provide satisfactory result. Therefore, Transcriptional risk scores (TRS) based on multi-omics data and machine learning models were proposed to assess the risk of KIRC. First, we collected four types of multi-omics data (DNA methylation, miRNA, mRNA and lncRNA) of KIRC patients from the TCGA database. Subsequently, a novel TRS method utilizing multiple omics data and XGBoost model was developed. Finally, we performed prevalence analysis and prognosis prediction to evaluate the utility of the TRS generated by our method. Our TRS methods exhibited better predictive performance than the linear models and other machine learning models. Furthermore, the prediction accuracy of combined TRS model was higher than that of single-omics TRS model. The KM curves showed that TRS was a valid prognostic indicator for cancer staging. Our proposed method extended the current definition of TRS from standalone SNP data to multi-omics data and was superior to the linear models and other machine learning models, which may provide a useful implement for diagnostic and prognostic prediction of KIRC.