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Updated: Jul 21, 2025

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
Sexually selected male weapon increases the risk of population extinction under environmental change: an experimental
Aleksandra Łukasiewicz1,2, Neelam Porwal1, Małgorzata Niśkiewicz1,3
1Evolutionary Biology Group, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznań, Poland.
Abstract:
Exaggerated sexually selected traits (SSTs), occurring more commonly in males, help individuals to increase reproductive success but are costly to produce and maintain. These costs on the one hand may improve population fitness by intensifying selection against maladapted males, but on the other hand, may increase the risk of extinction under environmental challenges. However, the impact of SSTs on extinction risk has not been investigated experimentally. We used replicate populations of a male-dimorphic mite, Rhizoglyphus robini, to test if the prevalence of a sexually selected weapon affected the risk of extinction under temperature increase (TI) (2°C per each of three consecutive generations). In two independent experiments that utilized either inbred lines or lines mass selected for or against the weapon to establish experimental replicate populations differing in the prevalence of the weapon, we found that populations with high weapon prevalence were more likely to go extinct. Extinctions occurred despite partial suppression of the weapon expression at increased temperature and were not explained by increased male mortality. Our results provide the first, to our knowledge, experimental evidence demonstrating the dramatic effect of elaborated sexual traits on the risk of extinction under environmental challenges.
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