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Updated: Jul 20, 2025

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Health-economic benefits of anti-CD20 treatments in relapsing multiple sclerosis estimated using a treatment-sequence
Ide Smets1, Matthijs Versteegh1, Simone Huygens2
1Department of Neurology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Background:
In high-income countries, four anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) are used or in the pipeline for relapsing MS: ocrelizumab, ofatumumab (both registered), ublituximab (awaiting registration) and rituximab (off-label). List prices differ significantly between registered and off-label drugs.
Objective:
Comparing differences in benefits between anti-CD20 mAbs from a health-economic and societal perspective.
Methods:
To reflect lifetime use of DMTs, we used a treatment-sequence model to compare ocrelizumab/ofatumumab and eight other drug classes in terms of health (lifetime relapses, time to Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] 6, lifetime quality-adjusted life years) and cost-effectiveness (net health benefit). To become cost-effective compared to ocrelizumab, we modelled the list price of ublituximab and desired effect on EDSS progression of rituximab.
Results:
Although drug sequences with ocrelizumab in first- and second-line were more cost-effective than ofatumumab, our probabilistic analysis suggests this outcome was very uncertain. To be more cost-effective than ocrelizumab, ublituximab needs to be about 25% cheaper whilst rituximab needs to equal the effect on disability progression seen with first-line treatments.
Conclusions:
Our model showed no clear difference in cost-effectiveness between ocrelizumab and ofatumumab. Hence, prescribing the least costly anti-CD20 mAb can democratise MS care without a loss in health benefits.
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