A mathematical model to serve as a clinical tool for assessing obstructive sleep apnea severity

Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a sleep disorder caused by periodic airway obstructions and has been associated with numerous health consequences, which are thought to result from tissue hypoxia. However, challenges in the direct measurement of tissue-level oxygenation make it difficult to analyze the hypoxia exposure pattern in patients. Furthermore, current clinical practice relies on the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) and pulse oximetry to assess OSA severity, both of which have limitations. To overcome this, we developed a clinically deployable mathematical model, which outputs tissue-level oxygenation. The model incorporates spatial pulmonary oxygen uptake, considers dissolved oxygen, and can use time-dependent patient inputs. It was applied to explore a series of breathing patterns that are clinically differentiated. Supporting previous studies, the result of this analysis indicated that the AHI is an unreliable indicator of hypoxia burden. As a proof of principle, polysomnography data from two patients was analyzed with this model. The model showed greater sensitivity to breathing in comparison with pulse oximetry and provided systemic venous oxygenation, which is absent from clinical measurements. In addition, the dissolved oxygen output was used to calculate hypoxia burden scores for each patient and compared to the clinical assessment, highlighting the importance of event length and cumulative impact of obstructions. Furthermore, an intra-patient statistical analysis was used to underscore the significance of closely occurring obstructive events and to highlight the utility of the model for quantitative data processing. Looking ahead, our model can be used with polysomnography data to predict hypoxic burden on the tissues and help guide patient treatment decisions.