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Cautious Bayesian Optimization: A Line Tracker Case Study
Vicent Girbés-Juan1, Joaquín Moll2, Antonio Sala2
1Departament d'Enginyeria Electrònica (DIE), Universitat de València, 46100 Burjassot, Spain.
Abstract:
In this paper, a procedure for experimental optimization under safety constraints, to be denoted as constraint-aware Bayesian Optimization, is presented. The basic ingredients are a performance objective function and a constraint function; both of them will be modeled as Gaussian processes. We incorporate a prior model (transfer learning) used for the mean of the Gaussian processes, a semi-parametric Kernel, and acquisition function optimization under chance-constrained requirements. In this way, experimental fine-tuning of a performance objective under experiment-model mismatch can be safely carried out. The methodology is illustrated in a case study on a line-follower application in a CoppeliaSim environment.
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Prediction Intervals
However, the point estimate is most likely not the exact value of the population parameter, but close to it. After calculating point estimates, we construct interval estimates, called confidence intervals or prediction intervals. This prediction interval comprises a range of values unlike the point estimate and is a better predictor of the observed sample value, y.

