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Predictive value of serum βHCG level in ectopic pregnancy: A cross sectional study
Mandana Mansour Ghanaie1, Sanaz Hoshyarmanesh1, Seyedeh Maryam Asgari2
1Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, Reproductive Health Research Center, Alzahra Hospital, School of Medicine Guilan University of Medical Sciences Rasht Iran.
Serum human chorionic gonadotropin (βHCG) levels can predict successful treatment of tubal ectopic pregnancy (EP) with single-dose methotrexate (SD MTX). A significant decrease in βHCG levels indicates a positive treatment outcome for EP.
Area of Science:
- Reproductive Endocrinology
- Gynecologic Oncology
- Medical Diagnostics
Background:
- Ectopic pregnancy (EP) is a critical condition requiring timely diagnosis and effective treatment.
- Serum βHCG levels are crucial biomarkers in managing EP.
- Evaluating βHCG dynamics post-treatment aids in assessing therapeutic success.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the predictive value of serum βHCG levels and their changes following single-dose methotrexate (SD MTX) treatment for tubal EP.
- To identify key βHCG thresholds indicative of successful EP treatment.
- To enhance early diagnosis and management strategies for tubal EP.
Main Methods:
- A cross-sectional study involving 690 women with tubal EP treated with SD MTX.
- Analysis of serum βHCG levels at baseline, day 4, and day 7 post-treatment.
- Statistical analysis using SPSS22, including receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
Main Results:
- SD MTX treatment achieved an 84.7% success rate.
- The successful treatment group showed a 19.53% decrease in βHCG from baseline to day 4, while the failed group had a 12.94% increase (p < 0.001).
- ROC analysis indicated sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 55% for predicting success by day 7, with specific cut-off values.
Conclusions:
- A decrease in serum βHCG levels, particularly a cut-off decrease of 59.9% by day 4 and 81.6% by day 7, effectively predicts successful tubal EP treatment with SD MTX.
- Monitoring βHCG trends is vital for evaluating treatment efficacy in tubal EP.
- These findings support the use of βHCG monitoring for optimizing EP management.
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