MRI-Based Surrogate Imaging Markers of Aggressiveness in Prostate Cancer: Development of a Machine Learning Model...

This study aimed to develop a noninvasive Machine Learning (ML) model to identify clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) according to Gleason Score (GS) based on biparametric MRI (bpMRI) radiomic features and clinical information.

This retrospective study included 86 adult Hispanic men (60 ± 8.2 years, median prostate-specific antigen density (PSA-D) 0.15 ng/mL²) with PCa who underwent prebiopsy 3T MRI followed by targeted MRI-ultrasound fusion and systematic biopsy. Two observers performed 2D segmentation of lesions in T2WI/ADC images. We classified csPCa (GS ≥ 7) vs. non-csPCa (GS = 6). Univariate statistical tests were performed for different parameters, including prostate volume (PV), PSA-D, PI-RADS, and radiomic features. Multivariate models were built using the automatic feature selection algorithm Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) and different classifiers. A stratified split separated the train/test (80%) and validation (20%) sets.

Radiomic features derived from T2WI/ADC are associated with GS in patients with PCa. The best model found was multivariate, including image (T2WI/ADC) and clinical (PV and PSA-D) information. The validation area under the curve (AUC) was 0.80 for differentiating csPCa from non-csPCa, exhibiting better performance than PI-RADS (AUC: 0.71) and PSA-D (AUC: 0.78).

Our multivariate ML model outperforms PI-RADS v2.1 and established clinical indicators like PSA-D in classifying csPCa accurately. This underscores MRI-derived radiomics' (T2WI/ADC) potential as a robust biomarker for assessing PCa aggressiveness in Hispanic patients.