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The Predicted Future of Psychotherapy: A Decennial e-Delphi Poll
John C Norcross1, Rory A Pfund2, Danielle M Cook1
1Department of Psychology, University of Scranton.
Professional Psychology, Research and Practice
|September 11, 2023
Summary
Psychotherapy in the 2030s will likely see growth in multicultural, mindfulness, and cognitive-behavioral therapies. Experts predict increased use of technology and integration into primary care.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Psychiatry
- Health Services Research
Background:
- The future of psychotherapy is a critical area for mental health professionals.
- Understanding trends is essential for adapting clinical practice and training.
Purpose of the Study:
- To forecast the future of psychotherapy in the United States through the 2030s.
- To identify key shifts in therapeutic modalities, delivery platforms, and practice integration.
Main Methods:
- An e-Delphi poll involving 56 psychotherapy experts.
- Two rounds of predictions and consensus-building on future trends.
Main Results:
- Multicultural, mindfulness, and cognitive-behavioral therapies are predicted to increase.
- Technological interventions, short-term therapy, and therapy personalization are expected to rise.
- Integration into primary care and evidence-based practices for insurance are highly likely scenarios.
Conclusions:
- Psychotherapy is evolving towards personalized, technologically-enhanced, and integrated care models.
- Adaptation to these trends is crucial for health-service psychologists.
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