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Summary Tests of Introgression Are Highly Sensitive to Rate Variation Across Lineages.

Lauren E Frankel1, Cécile Ané1,2

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Evolutionary rate variation significantly increases false positives when detecting hybridization using common summary statistics tests. These methods may require re-evaluation for accuracy in diverse phylogenetic studies.

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ABBA–BABAD-statisticD3HyDeadmixture graphhybridizationphylogenomicsspecies network

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Area of Science:

  • Evolutionary biology
  • Genomics
  • Phylogenetics

Background:

  • Hybridization and introgression are increasingly recognized as significant evolutionary forces.
  • Current methods for detecting hybridization often rely on summary statistics from small taxon subsets.
  • These methods frequently assume constant evolutionary rates, a condition often unmet in real data.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To quantify the impact of evolutionary rate variation on widely used hybridization detection tests.
  • To evaluate the robustness of the D test (ABBA-BABA), D3 test, and HyDe under rate variation.
  • To assess how lineage-specific and gene-specific rate variations affect the accuracy of these tests.

Main Methods:

  • Simulated species networks using a birth-death-hybridization model to represent realistic phylogenetic scenarios.
  • Quantified the effects of rate variation across species lineages, genes, and gene-tree edges.
  • Assessed type-1 error rates (false discovery of reticulation) and power to detect hybridization.

Main Results:

  • Rate variation across species lineages markedly increased false discovery rates for all tested methods.
  • The D3 test exhibited high sensitivity to rate variation, showing ~80% type-1 error, suggesting it detects rate departures more than reticulation.
  • Increased hybridization events reduced the power of all tests, indicating potential for obscuring signals in complex scenarios.

Conclusions:

  • Widely used summary statistics tests for hybridization are sensitive to evolutionary rate variation, leading to inflated false positive rates.
  • The D3 test is particularly susceptible to rate variation, potentially misinterpreting clock departures as hybridization.
  • Future studies should consider methods robust to rate variation or explicitly account for it to accurately infer hybridization events.