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Updated: Jul 16, 2025

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
The effect of dispersal on asymptotic total population size in discrete- and continuous-time two-patch models
Carolin Grumbach1, Femke N Reurik2, Juan Segura3
1Institute of Mathematics and Institute of Environmental Systems Research, Osnabrück University, Barbarastraße 12, 49076, Osnabrück, Germany. carolin.grumbach@uni-osnabrueck.de.
Abstract:
Many populations occupy spatially fragmented landscapes. How dispersal affects the asymptotic total population size is a key question for conservation management and the design of ecological corridors. Here, we provide a comprehensive overview of two-patch models with symmetric dispersal and two standard density-dependent population growth functions, one in discrete and one in continuous time. A complete analysis of the discrete-time model reveals four response scenarios of the asymptotic total population size to increasing dispersal rate: (1) monotonically beneficial, (2) unimodally beneficial, (3) beneficial turning detrimental, and (4) monotonically detrimental. The same response scenarios exist for the continuous-time model, and we show that the parameter conditions are analogous between the discrete- and continuous-time setting. A detailed biological interpretation offers insight into the mechanisms underlying the response scenarios that thus improve our general understanding how potential conservation efforts affect population size.
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