Postoperative decline in renal function after rectal resection and all-cause mortality: a retrospective cohort study

Fluid loss, dehydration and resultant kidney injury are common when a diverting ileostomy is formed during rectal cancer surgery, the consequences of which are unknown. The aim of this retrospective single-site cohort study is to evaluate the impact of sustained postoperative renal dysfunction after rectal resection on long-term renal impairment and survival.

All patients with rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing resection between January 2003 and March 2017 were included, with follow-up to June 2020. The primary outcome was impact on long-term mortality attributed to a 25% or greater drop in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) following rectal resection. Secondary outcomes were the long-term effect on renal function resulting from the same drop in eGFR and the effect on long-term mortality and renal function of a 50% drop in eGFR. We also calculated the effect on mortality of a 1% drop in eGFR.

A total of 1159 patients were identified. Postoperative reductions in eGFR of 25% and 50% were associated with long-term overall mortality with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.84 (1.22-2.77) (p = 0.004) and 2.88 (1.45-5.71) (p = 0.002). The median survival of these groups was 86.0 (64.0-108.0) months and 53.3 (7.8-98.8) months compared with 144.5 (128.1-160.9) months for controls. Long-term effects on renal function were demonstrated, with those who sustained a >25% drop in renal function having a 38.8% mean decline in eGFR at 10 years compared with 10.2% in controls.

Persistent postoperative declines in renal function may be linked to long-term mortality. Further research is needed to assess causal relationships and prevention.