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Reason and Intuition01:37

Reason and Intuition

The human brain processes information for decision-making using one of two routes: an intuitive system and a rational system (Epstein, 1994; popularized by Kahneman, 2011 as System 1 and System 2, respectively). The intuitive system is quick, impulsive, and operates with minimal effort, relying on emotions or habits to provide cues for what to do next, while the rational system is logical, analytical, deliberate, and methodical. Research in neuropsychology suggests that the brain can only use...
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The hazard ratio (HR) is a widely used measure in clinical trials to compare the risk of events, such as death or disease recurrence, between two groups over time. It reflects the ratio of hazard rates—the instantaneous risk of the event occurring—between a treatment group and a control group. This measure provides valuable insights into the relative effectiveness of a treatment by assessing how the risk of an event differs between the two groups.
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Decision-Making During High-Risk Events: A Systematic Literature Review.

Carrie Reale1, Megan E Salwei2, Laura G Militello3

  • 1Center for Research and Innovation in Systems Safety, Department of Anesthesiology and the Center for Health Services Research, Institute for Medicine and Public Health, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.

Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making
|October 12, 2023
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Trained professionals often use recognition-primed decision-making (RPD) strategies in crises. Experience, time pressure, stress, and uncertainty significantly influence effective crisis decision-making, impacting training and technology design.

Keywords:
decision-makingdecision-making strategyerrorshealthcarehigh-risk eventsnaturalistic decision-makingrecognition-primed decision-makingsimulationstresstime pressureuncertainty

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Area of Science:

  • Decision-making science
  • Crisis management
  • Cognitive psychology

Background:

  • Effective decision-making in crisis events is complex due to time constraints, uncertainty, and dynamic environments.
  • Trained professionals in high-stakes fields face significant challenges in making critical decisions under pressure.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To systematically review empirical research on how trained professionals make naturalistic decisions under pressure.
  • To identify key themes and factors influencing decision-making in crisis events across various domains.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic literature review of 32 empirical research papers from PubMed and PsycINFO.
  • Structured qualitative analysis to extract key themes related to decision-making processes.
  • Analysis across diverse professional domains including healthcare, military, aviation, and emergency services.

Main Results:

  • Five main themes emerged: decision-making strategy, time pressure, stress, uncertainty, and errors.
  • Recognition-primed decision-making (RPD) was frequently reported, alongside analytical strategies in less time-sensitive contexts.
  • Practitioner experience, time pressure, stress, and uncertainty were identified as major influencing factors.

Conclusions:

  • Professionals must adapt decision-making strategies based on available time, uncertainty levels, and individual expertise.
  • Understanding these decisional factors is crucial for developing evidence-based training, technology, and process improvements.
  • Variability in research focus and methodology highlights the need for standardized approaches in studying crisis decision-making.