Explainable Remaining Tool Life Prediction for Individualized Production Using Automated Machine Learning

The increasing demand for customized products is a core driver of novel automation concepts in Industry 4.0. For the case of machining complex free-form workpieces, e.g., in die making and mold making, individualized manufacturing is already the industrial practice. The varying process conditions and demanding machining processes lead to a high relevance of machining domain experts and a low degree of manufacturing flow automation. In order to increase the degree of automation, online process monitoring and the prediction of the quality-related remaining cutting tool life is indispensable. However, the varying process conditions complicate this as the correlation between the sensor signals and tool condition is not directly apparent. Furthermore, machine learning (ML) knowledge is limited on the shop floor, preventing a manual adaption of the models to changing conditions. Therefore, this paper introduces a new method for remaining tool life prediction in individualized production using automated machine learning (AutoML). The method enables the incorporation of machining expert knowledge via the model inputs and outputs. It automatically creates end-to-end ML pipelines based on optimized ensembles of regression and forecasting models. An explainability algorithm visualizes the relevance of the model inputs for the decision making. The method is analyzed and compared to a manual state-of-the-art approach for series production in a comprehensive evaluation using a new milling dataset. The dataset represents gradual tool wear under changing workpieces and process parameters. Our AutoML method outperforms the state-of-the-art approach and the evaluation indicates that a transfer of methods designed for series production to variable process conditions is not easily possible. Overall, the new method optimizes individualized production economically and in terms of resources. Machining experts with limited ML knowledge can leverage their domain knowledge to develop, validate and adapt tool life models.