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Innovations effect on CO2 emissions: asymmetric panel data approach
1Institute of Social Sciences, Kraljice Natalije Str. 45, Belgrade, Republic of Serbia. ppetrovic@idn.org.rs.
Environmental Science and Pollution Research International
|November 1, 2023
Summary
Innovations generally increase carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, with a negative environmental impact six times stronger than the positive one observed during innovation declines. This highlights the need for supporting green innovations to mitigate environmental harm.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Economics
- Innovation Studies
- Climate Change Research
Background:
- Existing research on innovations and CO2 emissions suffers from methodological and conceptual shortcomings.
- Understanding the nuanced relationship between innovation and environmental impact is crucial for sustainable development.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the nature and strength of the effect of innovations on CO2 emissions.
- To provide reliable findings by addressing limitations in previous studies.
Main Methods:
- Utilized hidden panel cointegration theory.
- Applied a partially asymmetric cointegration equation.
- Analyzed data from 43 countries between 1991 and 2018.
Main Results:
- A 1% increase in innovations is associated with a 0.006% rise in CO2 emissions.
- A 1% decrease in innovations is linked to a 0.001% reduction in CO2 emissions.
- The negative environmental impact of innovations is, on average, six times stronger than the positive impact.
Conclusions:
- The overall impact of innovations on CO2 emissions is predominantly unfavorable.
- Innovation's effect on CO2 emissions varies significantly across countries.
- There is a critical need for increased support and development of green innovations.
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