Performance of GALAD score and serum biomarkers for detecting NAFLD-related HCC: a systematic review and network...

The incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing globally. We aimed to assess the performance of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), AFP-L3, des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP), and GALAD score in detecting NAFLD-related HCC.

We searched the relevant literature in PubMed, Embase and Cochrane. Conventional and network meta-analyses were performed for sensitivity, specificity, Youden index (YI), and the area under the summary receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC).

Fifteen studies involving 2031 NAFLD participants were included in this meta-analysis. When detecting early-stage NAFLD-related HCC, GALAD score and DCP process excellent performance. The sensitivity and AUC of DCP (0.60, 0.74, respectively) were higher than AFP (0.34, 0.59, respectively). The network meta-analysis showed that DCP and GALAD score had similar performance. In detecting all-stage NAFLD-related HCC, GALAD score (sensitivity = 0.87; YI = 0.77) performed better than AFP (sensitivity = 0.56; YI = 0.50), AFP-L3 (sensitivity = 0.39; YI = 0.36) and DCP (sensitivity = 0.73; YI = 0.62). Network meta-analysis obtained consistent results with conventional meta-analysis.

Due to the lower cost-effectiveness, DCP was more suitable for detecting early NAFLD-related HCC. AFP could be used in detecting all-stage NAFLD-related HCC.