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NetGAM: Using generalized additive models to improve the predictive power of ecological network analyses constructed
Samantha J Gleich1, Jacob A Cram2, J L Weissman3
1Department of Biological Sciences, University of Southern California, 3616 Trousdale Parkway, AHF, Los Angeles, CA, 90089-0371, USA. gleich@usc.edu.
Ecological network analysis using time-series data can be inaccurate due to seasonal patterns. A new generalized additive model (GAM) transformation effectively removes these temporal signals, improving ecological network accuracy and predictive power.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Microbial ecology
- Bioinformatics
Background:
- Ecological network analysis infers microbial interactions from species abundance data.
- Time-series data present statistical challenges, potentially leading to inaccurate network predictions due to non-biotic associations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a data transformation method to remove time-series signals from microbial abundance data.
- To improve the accuracy and reliability of ecological network inference.
Main Methods:
- A generalized additive model (GAM)-based transformation was applied to remove temporal signals from species abundance data.
- Mock time-series datasets with known covariance structures were used for validation.
- Network analyses were performed with and without the GAM transformation, comparing outputs to the known structure.
Main Results:
- Seasonal abundance patterns significantly reduced the accuracy of inferred ecological networks.
- The GAM transformation enhanced the predictive power (F1 score) of ecological networks.
- The transformation improved the ability of network inference methods to capture key network structures.
Conclusions:
- Temporal dynamics, such as seasonal patterns, must be addressed in ecological network analyses.
- The described GAM transformation is a simple and effective tool for improving the accuracy of ecological network inference from time-series data.
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