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Clinical and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Radiomics-Based Survival Prediction in Glioblastoma Using Multiparametric
Girish Bathla1, Neetu Soni2, Caitlin Ward3
1From the Department of Radiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Introduction:
Survival prediction in glioblastoma remains challenging, and identification of robust imaging markers could help with this relevant clinical problem. We evaluated multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-derived radiomics to assess prediction of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS).
Methodology:
A retrospective, institutional review board-approved study was performed. There were 93 eligible patients, of which 55 underwent gross tumor resection and chemoradiation (GTR-CR). Overall survival and PFS were assessed in the entire cohort and the GTR-CR cohort using multiple machine learning pipelines. A model based on multiple clinical variables was also developed. Survival prediction was assessed using the radiomics-only, clinical-only, and the radiomics and clinical combined models.
Results:
For all patients combined, the clinical feature-derived model outperformed the best radiomics model for both OS (C-index, 0.706 vs 0.597; P < 0.0001) and PFS prediction (C-index, 0.675 vs 0.588; P < 0.001). Within the GTR-CR cohort, the radiomics model showed nonstatistically improved performance over the clinical model for predicting OS (C-index, 0.638 vs 0.588; P = 0.4). However, the radiomics model outperformed the clinical feature model for predicting PFS in GTR-CR cohort (C-index, 0.641 vs 0.550; P = 0.004). Combined clinical and radiomics model did not yield superior prediction when compared with the best model in each case.
Conclusions:
When considering all patients, regardless of therapy, the radiomics-derived prediction of OS and PFS is inferior to that from a model derived from clinical features alone. However, in patients with GTR-CR, radiomics-only model outperforms clinical feature-derived model for predicting PFS.
