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Updated: Jul 11, 2025

Estimating Bilateral Atrial Function by Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: July 20, 2022
Prediction of incident atrial fibrillation in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy
Maria Angela Losi1, Emanuele Monda2, Raffaella Lombardi1
1Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, University Federico II, Naples, Italy.
Insights
Left atrial diameter is a simple echocardiographic measure that can predict atrial fibrillation (AF) development in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients. This measurement is more effective than the HCM-AF Score for identifying individuals at high risk for AF.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Cardiac Electrophysiology
- Medical Imaging
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) with significant prognostic implications.
- Predicting AF development in HCM patients is crucial for timely intervention and improved outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive value of left atrial (LA) diameter measurement against the HCM-AF Score for AF development in HCM patients.
- To identify simple and effective methods for risk stratification of AF in HCM.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 519 HCM patients without a history of AF was followed prospectively.
- The primary endpoint was the documented development of AF via ECG.
- Left atrial diameter and HCM-AF score were assessed and compared for their predictive accuracy using ROC curve analysis.
Main Results:
- During a mean follow-up of 8 years, 19% of patients developed AF.
- Patients who developed AF had larger LA diameters, greater LV wall thickness, and higher LV outflow tract obstruction.
- Left atrial diameter demonstrated a significantly greater area under the ROC curve compared to the HCM-AF Score (p < 0.0001).
Conclusions:
- Left atrial diameter is a powerful, standalone predictor of AF development in HCM.
- A LA diameter > 46 mm at 5-year follow-up accurately predicts AF development, similar to an HCM-AF score >= 22.
- This simple echocardiographic measure offers a valuable tool for risk-stratifying HCM patients for AF.
Background And Aim:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) with significant effects on outcome. We aim to compare the left atrial (LA) diameter measurement with HCM-AF Score in predicting atrial fibrillation (AF) development in HCM.
Methods:
From the regional cohort of the Campania Region, Italy, 519 HCM patients (38% women, age45 ± 17 years) without history of AF, were enrolled in the study. The primary clinical endpoint was the development of AF, defined as at least 1 episode documented by ECG.
Results:
During the follow-up (mean 8 ± 6, IQ range 2.5-11.2 years), 99 patients (19%) developed AF. Patients who developed AF were more symptomatic, had higher prevalence of ICD implantation, had larger LA diameter, greater left ventricular (LV) maximal wall thickness and LV outflow tract obstruction (p < 0.01). Both LA diameter and HCM-AF score were higher in patients who developed AF versus those who did not (LA diameter 49 ± 7 versus 43 ± 6 mm; HCM-AF score 22 ± 4 versus 19 ± 4; p < 0.0001); however, ROC curve analysis demonstrated that LA diameter had a significant greater area under the curve than HCM-AF Score (p < 0.0001). At 5 years follow-up, a LA diameter > 46 mm, showed a similar accuracy in predicting AF development of HCM-AF score ≥ 22, which identifies patients at high risk to develop AF.
Conclusion:
Our analysis shows that LA diameter, a worldwide and simple echocardiographic measure, is capable alone to predict AF development in HCM patients.
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