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Observed Warming Trends at U.S. Army Basic Combat Training Installations and Implications for Future Recruit
Erik M Patton1,2, Martin W Doyle1
1Nicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, 27710, USA.
Wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) has increased at U.S. Army training bases since 1960, raising concerns for recruit heat illness. Adaptations to training are needed to manage risks in a warming climate.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Occupational Health
- Climate Science
Background:
- Army recruits are highly susceptible to exertional heat illness.
- Rising global temperatures exacerbate heat stress risks during military training.
- Wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) is a key indicator of heat stress.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze WBGT index trends at U.S. Army Basic Combat Training (BCT) installations.
- To quantify the magnitude of these WBGT trends.
- To discuss the potential impacts of increasing temperatures on recruit heat illness and training.
Main Methods:
- Utilized weather data from the early 1960s, including WBGT index measurements.
- Classified high WBGT days considering prior heat exposure to identify recruit risk periods.
- Analyzed WBGT trends quantitatively during warm seasons and full years, comparing decades and BCT classes.
Main Results:
- WBGT index has increased at all four analyzed BCT installations since 1960.
- Ft Jackson, SC, showed the most rapid increase (0.272°C/decade), while Ft Moore, GA, had the least (0.190°C/decade).
- Recruits at Ft Moore, GA, face the highest heat burden, potentially experiencing ~200 hours of hazardous heat during mid-June BCT.
Conclusions:
- Steady increases in WBGT index highlight a growing heat stress risk for Army recruits.
- Adaptations to the BCT program are necessary to maintain training standards safely.
- This analysis provides data to inform medical, training, and policy changes for BCT in a warming climate.
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