Compliance with U.S. Government Nutrition Advice and Concurrent Obesity Trends Using Nurses' Health Study Data,...

Beginning in 1977, the U.S. Government began formally issuing dietary advice, a main objective of which was to reduce and prevent the prevalence of obesity in the American population. Concurrently, the Harvard School of Public Health began conducting dietary intake surveys and collecting body mass index (BMI) (kg/m²) data on female nurses in the Nurses' Health Study I (NHSI) and II (NHSII).

We aimed to assess whether compliance with the nutrition guidance from the U.S. Government to restrict dietary intake regarding total fat, saturated fat, and cholesterol was meaningfully associated with the prevalence of obesity.

We analyzed nutrition survey data from 1980 to 2011, grouping the sample into "compliers," those who complied with guidance on the intake of total fat, saturated fat, and cholesterol, and "noncompliers," those who did not. We then compared the means, medians, and distributions of BMI for compliers and noncompliers over the period for both the full survey population and an age-controlled sample. Finally, we plotted raw NHS data to examine respondents' Fat Proportion intake of energy and concurrent BMI.

The mean and median BMI for both compliers and noncompliers increased throughout the sample period, and the BMI distributions shifted toward obese and severely obese overall and for an age-controlled subset compared with the 1980 NHSI and 1990 NHSII baselines. Compliers had slightly lower mean BMI increases than noncompliers but saw a relatively higher increase in the growth of the prevalence of those with BMI >30. We also found no linear relationship between Fat Proportion of energy intake and concurrent BMI.

Guidance from the U.S. Government to limit fat, saturated fat, and cholesterol consumption was widely adopted by American female nurses during the study period. Our results show that compliance with this guidance had little if any effect in mitigating population-wide BMI increases during our study period.