Clinical outcomes up to 9 years after [¹⁸F]flutemetamol amyloid-PET in a symptomatic memory clinic population

Previous studies demonstrated increases in diagnostic confidence and change in patient management after amyloid-PET. However, studies investigating longitudinal outcomes over an extended period of time are limited. Therefore, we aimed to investigate clinical outcomes up to 9 years after amyloid-PET to support the clinical validity of the imaging technique.

We analyzed longitudinal data from 200 patients (M_age = 61.8, 45.5% female, M_MMSE = 23.3) suspected of early-onset dementia that underwent [¹⁸F]flutemetamol-PET. Baseline amyloid status was determined through visual read (VR). Information on mortality was available with a mean follow-up of 6.7 years (range = 1.1-9.3). In a subset of 108 patients, longitudinal cognitive scores and clinical etiological diagnosis (eDx) at least 1 year after amyloid-PET acquisition were available (M = 3.06 years, range = 1.00-7.02). VR - and VR + patients were compared on mortality rates with Cox Hazard's model, prevalence of stable eDx using chi-square test, and longitudinal cognition with linear mixed models. Neuropathological data was available for 4 patients (mean delay = 3.59 ± 1.82 years, range = 1.2-6.3).

At baseline, 184 (92.0%) patients were considered to have dementia. The majority of VR + patients had a primary etiological diagnosis of AD (122/128, 95.3%), while the VR - group consisted mostly of non-AD etiologies, most commonly frontotemporal lobar degeneration (30/72, 40.2%). Overall mortality rate was 48.5% and did not differ between VR - and VR + patients. eDx at follow-up was consistent with baseline diagnosis for 92/108 (85.2%) patients, with most changes observed in VR - cases (VR -  = 14/35, 40% vs VR +  = 2/73, 2.7%, χ² = 26.03, p < 0.001), who at no time received an AD diagnosis. VR + patients declined faster than VR - patients based on MMSE (β =  - 1.17, p = 0.004), episodic memory (β =  - 0.78, p = 0.003), fluency (β =  - 1.44, p < 0.001), and attention scores (β = 16.76, p = 0.03). Amyloid-PET assessment was in line with post-mortem confirmation in all cases; two cases were VR + and showed widespread AD pathology, while the other two cases were VR - and showed limited amyloid pathology.

In a symptomatic population, we observed that amyloid-status did not impact mortality rates, but is predictive of cognitive functioning over time across several domains. Also, we show particular validity for a negative amyloid-PET assessment, as these patients did not receive an AD diagnosis at follow-up.