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As the human population continues to grow and use resources, we must be mindful of our planet’s natural limits. Sustainable development provides a pathway to maintain and improve human life now while also ensuring that future generations will have the resources that they need. The long-term success of sustainability efforts rests on understanding the interplay between human actions and ecological systems.
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Waste LCA and the future.

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Life cycle assessment (LCA) models are crucial for waste management but face challenges from societal shifts towards sustainability. This study offers recommendations for adapting LCA to future waste management systems and decision-making.

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Future scenariosLCAWaste management

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Area of Science:

  • Environmental Science
  • Sustainability Science
  • Waste Management

Background:

  • Life cycle assessment (LCA) models are established tools for evaluating waste management's environmental impacts.
  • Profound societal and sectoral changes are imminent to achieve sustainable development goals.
  • These changes will significantly influence waste management operations, goals, and LCA modeling.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To reflect on anticipated societal and industrial changes affecting waste management.
  • To analyze the impact of these changes on LCA modeling of waste management systems.
  • To provide practical recommendations for future LCA modeling in waste management.

Main Methods:

  • Review of current LCA practices in waste management.
  • Analysis of projected societal and industrial transformations.
  • Identification of potential impacts on waste input, technology modeling, and impact assessment.
  • Development of recommendations for adapting LCA methodologies.

Main Results:

  • Anticipated changes in energy, material, and nutrient provision will alter waste streams and management needs.
  • LCA modeling will need to account for evolving technologies, system dynamics, and resource flows.
  • Impact assessment and result interpretation require adjustments to reflect future scenarios.

Conclusions:

  • Future waste management systems and their LCA require adaptive modeling approaches.
  • Recommendations are provided to ensure robust LCA assessments supporting evolving decision-making.
  • This work aims to enhance the utility of LCA in navigating a changing sustainability landscape.