Quantitative Structure-Reactivity Relationships for Synthesis Planning: The Benzhydrylium Case

Selective and feasible reactions are among the top targets in synthesis planning. Mayr's approach to quantifying chemical reactivity has greatly facilitated the planning process, but reactivity parameters for new compounds require time-consuming experiments. In the past decade, data-driven modeling has been gaining momentum in the field, as it shows promise in terms of efficient reactivity prediction. However, state-of-the-art models use quantum chemical data as input, which prevent access to real-time planning in organic synthesis. Here, we present a novel data-driven workflow for predicting reactivity parameters of molecules that takes only structural information as input, enabling de facto real-time reactivity predictions. We use the well-understood chemical space of benzhydrylium ions as an example to demonstrate the functionality of our approach and the performance of the resulting quantitative structure-reactivity relationships (QSRRs). Our results suggest that it is straightforward to build low-cost QSRR models that are accurate, interpretable, and transferable to unexplored systems within a given scope of application. Moreover, our QSRR approach suggests that Hammett σ parameters are only approximately additive.