Assessing the Frequency of Deferrable Thyroid Nodule Biopsies to De-escalate Low-Value Care

Thyroid nodules are common, yet fewer than 1 in 10 harbors malignancy. When present, thyroid cancer is typically indolent with excellent survival. Therefore, patients who are not candidates for thyroid cancer treatment due to comorbid disease may not require further thyroid nodule evaluation. The goal of this study was to determine the rate of deferrable thyroid nodule biopsies in patients with limited life expectancy.

We identified patients who underwent thyroid fine needle aspiration (FNA) between 2015 and 2018 at our institution. The primary outcome was the number of deferrable FNAs, defined as FNAs performed in patients who died within 2 years after biopsy. Secondary outcomes included cytologic Bethesda score, procedure costs, and final diagnosis on surgical pathology. Multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regressions were used to evaluate factors associated with FNA in patients with limited life expectancy.

A total of 2565 FNAs were performed. Most patients were female (79%), and 37 (1.5%) patients died within 2 years. Nonthyroid specialists were significantly more likely to order deferrable FNAs (odds ratio 4.13, P < .001). Of the patients who died within 2 years, most (78%) had a concomitant diagnosis of nonthyroid cancer, and 4 went on to have thyroid surgery (Bethesda scores: 3, 4, 4, and 6). Spending associated with deferrable FNAs and subsequent surgery totaled over $98 000.

Overall, the rate of deferrable thyroid nodule biopsies was low. However, there is an opportunity to reduce low-value biopsies in patients with a concurrent nonthyroid cancer by partnering with oncology providers.